Mega Evolution — Pull Rates
Odds per rarity in Mega Evolution, based on set-specific mass-opening data (supplemented with era consensus values where marked).
| Rarity | Odds per pack | Per booster box | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 1 in 5 | ≈ 7.2 | Measured |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 12 | ≈ 3.0 | Measured |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 9 | ≈ 4.0 | Measured |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 101 | ≈ 0.4 | Measured |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 in 1260 | ≈ 0.0 | Measured |
Expected hits in a 36-pack booster box (average, not a guarantee).
Measured: set-specific mass-opening data (5,000+ packs). Era estimate: consensus value for this era's sets.
Unofficial community estimates — The Pokémon Company publishes no pull rates. Averages over thousands of packs; individual boxes vary. No investment advice.
See the most valuable cards in Mega Evolution →FAQ
How rare is a Special Illustration Rare in Mega Evolution?
A Special Illustration Rare appears in roughly 1 in 101 packs — about 0.4 per 36-pack booster box on average.
Are Mega Evolution pull rates official?
No. The Pokémon Company publishes no pull rates; these are community estimates from aggregated mass openings and can vary between print runs.